Customs duty: Impact on Canada’s economy

  • By Khaddouj Bennani
    • Oct 01, 2025
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Canada's economy

Canada’s economy has shifted dramatically. It contracted 1.6% on an annualized basis in Q2 2025, with exports dropping 7.5% as U.S tariffs pummelled Canadian businesses. For Business owners, this economic contraction, steeper than economists’ expected 0.5% decline, demands immediate action on all controllable costs.

Industrial machinery, equipment and parts exports fell 18.5%, while passenger car and light truck exports dropped 24.7%. These aren’t just statistics, they represent hundreds of millions in lost revenue for Canadian businesses already struggling with trade tensions. 

The new tariff reality demands strategic response

Effective March 4, 2025, Canada imposed retaliatory 25% tariffs on certain U.S products, which remain in place until the U.S eliminates its tariffs against Canadian goods. This escalating trade war creates both challenges and opportunities for customs duty optimization

Trading in 2025 has become more complicated and costly than ever, with the new 25% tariff environment advancing curiosity about tariff relief mechanisms and programs.

Smart businesses are leveraging this complexity to gain competitive advantages through strategic duty management

Real impact on Canada’s economy and businesses

The numbers tell a stark story. Real GDP contracted 0.1% in June alone, with the flash estimate for July showing only a modest 0.1% increase. Meanwhile, wage growth was anemic at just 0.2%, the smallest increase since Q2 2026 outside of the pandemic. 

In this environment, customs duty optimization isn’t optional, it’s essential for survival. Companies that master duty management while competitors struggle with rising costs will emerge stronger when economic conditions improve.

Strategic customs duty optimization framework 

1. Leverage Canada’s duty relief programs

The duties relief program allows qualified companies to import goods without paying duties, as long as those goods are eventually exported. Companies can manufacture or use the goods in a limited manner before export. 

For businesses with export operations, this program provides immediate cash flow relief.

According to Gazette, as of March 19, 2025, 27,745 of Canada Border Services Agency’s (CBSA) 197,414 active importers (14%) were enrolled in specialized importer programs, indicating significant untapped potential for most businesses.

2. Navigate free trade agreement benefits

Under the 2025 Tariff, products imported from nationals under Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) benefit from significantly lower duty rates. Canada has eliminated the 25% retaliatory tariff on USMCA qualifying goods, creating substantial opportunities for customs duty optimization through proper origin management.

3. Classification strategy in high-tariff environment

The CBSA updates tariff treatments whenever necessary and issues customs notices to the importing community for amendments. With frequent changes, maintaining optimal classifications requires continuous and professional expertise. 

4. Trusted trader program benefits

The CBSA continues administering Partners in Protection and Customs Self Assessment programs, which expedite crossing for pre-approved low-risk importers and support economic interests on both sides of the border.

In times of increased border scrutiny, these programs provide operational advantages that translate to cost savings.

Technology and modernization opportunities 

Canada Border Services Agency is pursuing regulatory amendments to ensure consistent access to timely and accurate advance electronic data for goods imported through the Courier Low Value Shipment program. Early adoption of these electronic systems positions businesses for smoother operations and reduced compliance costs. 

The CBSA announced its intention to launch its first preclearance operation in 2025, supporting national security and economic prosperity by facilitating secure and efficient movement of goods across the border. Forward-thinking companies should prepare to leverage these efficiency improvements. 

Market positioning during economic recovery 

While Canada’s economy faces challenges, investors are reassessing global markets, with Canada’s commercial real estate beating the U.S due to stronger population growth and more favorable lending environment. Canada’s population grew at twice the U.S rate in 2022 and nearly triple the rate in 2023 and 2024.

This demographic advantage, combined with effective customs duty optimization, positions Canadian businesses for growth as economic conditions stabilize. Canadian 10 year bond yields sit more than a point below U.S levels, creating a more accommodating environment for Canadian business operations. 

The action plan for business owners

  • Assessment: Review your complete import profile against current tariff schedules and available relief programs.
  • Strategy development: Leverage CUSMA benefits, duty relief programs and trusted trader status to minimize total landed costs.
  • Implementation: Deploy systematic processes aligned with CBSA modernization initiatives and electronic data requirements.
  • Monitoring: Establish regular reviews as tariff treatments are updated whenever necessary in this volatile trade environment. 

The competitive imperative

With economists split on Bank of Canada’s next moves and some pointing to weak momentum as reason for further rate cuts, businesses cannot rely on monetary policy alone for relief. Customs duty optimization provides controllable, immediate impact on cash flow and competitiveness. 

The companies that emerge stronger from this challenging period will be those that took decisive action on all controllable costs while positioning for recovery. Don’t let customs duties drain resources that could fuel growth and innovation. 

Ready to optimize your customs duty strategy in this challenging environment? 

Our experts help Canadian businesses navigate complex regulations and implement strategies that deliver measurable results during these uncertain times.  

Author

Khaddouj Bennani
Khaddouj Bennani

Digital Marketing Specialist

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